Kolos Kovalivka IIvs
UCSA
COMPLETEDUkraine · Persha Liga · 10/17/2026, 9:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
UCSA · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kolos Kovalivka II 0-0 UCSA
Original prediction
UCSA
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 20:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.95 | 46.5% | 36.2% | -10.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.42 | 26.5% | 24.6% | -1.8 pts |
| Away | 3.34 | 27.1% | 39.2% | 12.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.42 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
UCSA
Probability
39.2%
Model confidence
39.2%
UCSA has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Kolos Kovalivka IILLWWL
GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
UCSALLDLW
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Kolos Kovalivka IIUCSA
33.3Attack45.5
42.4Defence42.4
33.3Form30.3
38.0Power42.3
1.22xG1.44