GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Druha Liga · 10/6/2024, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Kolos Kovalivka II are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Chernihiv are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Chernihiv hold a 4.1-point power-rating edge (65.8 v 69.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.1% in the Druha Liga, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

40.1%

Model confidence

40.1%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Kolos Kovalivka IIWWWWW

GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
ChernihivDWDWD

GF 3 · GA 1 · avg 0.60/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Kolos Kovalivka IIChernihiv
52.6Attack55.6
73.7Defence85.2
68.4Form70.4
65.8Power69.9
0.93xG0.85
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