Kolínvs
Spartak Police n/Metují
COMPLETEDCzech-Republic · 4. liga - Divizie C · 9/13/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kolín · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kolín 3-1 Spartak Police n/Metují
Original prediction
Kolín
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.82 | 49.1% | 45.4% | -3.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.94 | 22.7% | 23.7% | 1.0 pts |
| Away | 3.16 | 28.2% | 30.9% | 2.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.82 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Kolín
Probability
45.4%
Model confidence
45.4%
Kolín has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40