Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kolín · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-1 (9%), 2-1 (8%), 3-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kolín 1-2 Letohrad
Original prediction
Kolín
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 11 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.22 | 73.2% | 75.1% | 1.9 pts |
| Draw | 6.00 | 14.9% | 13.6% | -1.3 pts |
| Away | 7.50 | 11.9% | 11.3% | -0.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–19%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.3–08%
Predicted outcome
Kolín
Probability
75.1%
Model confidence
75.1%
Kolín has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
KolínLWLLW
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
LetohradDDLLL
GF 6 · GA 14 · avg 1.20/2.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
KolínLetohrad
55.6Attack37.0
40.7Defence0.0
44.4Form0.0
48.4Power15.5
3.37xG1.15