GGOALVIO

Georgia · Erovnuli Liga 2 · 3/18/2023, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kolkheti Khobi · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Kolkheti Khobi are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Merani Tbilisi are 0W-3D-0L in their last 3 (DDD), averaging 0.67 scored and 0.67 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 8 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Kolkheti Khobi hold a 7.9-point power-rating edge (25.7 v 17.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.7% in the Erovnuli Liga 2, while Kolkheti Khobi holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Kolkheti Khobi

Probability

40.7%

Model confidence

40.7%

Kolkheti Khobi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Kolkheti KhobiLDDLW

GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Merani TbilisiDDD

GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 0.67/0.67

BTTS 2/3O2.5 0/3
Kolkheti KhobiMerani Tbilisi
27.8Attack26.9
21.3Defence0.0
18.5Form13.0
25.7Power17.8
1.45xG1.14
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