GGOALVIO

Denmark · 1. Division · 9/12/2026, 4:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC Fredericia · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (13%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Kolding IF 0-0 FC Fredericia

Original prediction

FC Fredericia

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home3.7824.4%26.9%2.5 pts
Draw3.7124.9%27.4%2.6 pts
Away1.8250.7%45.7%-5.0 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.71 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-5.0 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.0–113%
  3. 3.0–011%

Predicted outcome

FC Fredericia

Probability

45.7%

Model confidence

45.7%

FC Fredericia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Kolding IFLLWWD

GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
FC FredericiaWLLDW

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Kolding IFFC Fredericia
42.9Attack47.6
47.6Defence81.0
28.6Form57.1
42.6Power62.1
0.90xG1.43
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