Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Åsane W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (12%), 0-3 (10%), 1-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kolbotn W 3-4 Åsane W
Original prediction
Åsane W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 13.75 | 6.5% | 19.6% | 13.1 pts |
| Draw | 6.05 | 14.7% | 23.1% | 8.4 pts |
| Away | 1.13 | 78.8% | 57.3% | -21.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.13 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-21.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–212%
- 2.0–310%
- 3.1–210%
Predicted outcome
Åsane W
Probability
57.3%
Model confidence
57.3%
Åsane W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Kolbotn WDLLLW
GF 7 · GA 16 · avg 1.40/3.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Åsane WDWDLW
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Kolbotn WÅsane W
50.0Attack58.8
29.2Defence78.4
31.3Form74.5
37.1Power70.4
0.82xG2.55