Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kolbotn W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 3-1 (9%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kolbotn W 2-0 Klepp W
Original prediction
Kolbotn W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 17:37 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.17 | 76.9% | 60.4% | -16.5 pts |
| Draw | 6.39 | 14.1% | 20.6% | 6.5 pts |
| Away | 10.00 | 9.0% | 19.1% | 10.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.17 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-16.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.3–19%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Kolbotn W
Probability
60.4%
Model confidence
60.4%
Kolbotn W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Kolbotn WLWDLL
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Klepp WLLLLL
GF 2 · GA 21 · avg 0.40/4.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
Kolbotn WKlepp W
48.1Attack35.1
33.3Defence0.0
33.3Form15.8
38.8Power19.8
2.77xG1.23