Kolbotn Wvs
Arna-Bjørnar W
COMPLETEDNorway · 1. Division Women · 10/24/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Arna-Bjørnar W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-3 (10%), 1-3 (9%), 0-4 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kolbotn W 1-4 Arna-Bjørnar W
Original prediction
Arna-Bjørnar W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 September 2026 at 19:21 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 6.66 | 13.5% | 10.6% | -2.9 pts |
| Draw | 5.15 | 17.4% | 13.9% | -3.5 pts |
| Away | 1.30 | 69.2% | 75.6% | 6.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.30 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–310%
- 2.1–39%
- 3.0–48%
Predicted outcome
Arna-Bjørnar W
Probability
75.6%
Model confidence
75.6%
Arna-Bjørnar W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 22 · GA 8 · avg 4.40/1.60