Koléavs
Mostaganem
COMPLETEDAlgeria · Ligue 2 · 10/13/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Koléa 0-0 Mostaganem, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Koléa 2-3 Mostaganem
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 October 2026 at 12:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.34 | 38.1% | 35.6% | -2.4 pts |
| Draw | 2.80 | 31.8% | 31.7% | -0.1 pts |
| Away | 2.96 | 30.1% | 32.7% | 2.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.1 pts
Projected Score
Koléa 0–0 Mostaganem
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
31.7%
Model confidence
35.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
KoléaLWLLL
GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
MostaganemLDWLD
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
KoléaMostaganem
11.1Attack33.3
55.6Defence58.3
33.3Form33.3
36.7Power44.6
1.01xG0.95