Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Koléa · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Koléa 0-0 El Bayadh, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Koléa 1-0 El Bayadh
Original prediction
Koléa
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 1 October 2026 at 20:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.85 | 48.3% | 38.7% | -9.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.04 | 29.4% | 31.6% | 2.2 pts |
| Away | 4.01 | 22.3% | 29.7% | 7.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.85 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.6 pts
Projected Score
Koléa 0–0 El Bayadh
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Koléa
Probability
38.7%
Model confidence
38.7%
Koléa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
KoléaNo completed matches
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00
BTTS 0/0O2.5 0/0
El BayadhDDDLL
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
KoléaEl Bayadh
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power50.0
0.94xG0.81