GGOALVIO

Uzbekistan · Pro League A · 4/2/2024, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Kokand-1912 are 1W-1D-2L in their last 4 (WLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Xorazm are 2W-1D-0L in their last 3 (DWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 7 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Kokand-1912 hold a 14.7-point power-rating edge (57.2 v 42.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.4% in the Pro League A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 18% BTTS chance and 12% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

46.4%

Model confidence

46.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Kokand-1912WLDL

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 2/4O2.5 2/4
XorazmDWW

GF 3 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.33

BTTS 1/3O2.5 1/3
Kokand-1912Xorazm
35.7Attack21.4
75.0Defence64.3
54.8Form34.5
57.2Power42.5
0.86xG0.34
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