Kokand-1912vs
Neftchi
COMPLETEDUzbekistan · Super League · 10/16/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Neftchi · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Kokand-1912 0-2 Neftchi, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Kokand-1912 2-4 Neftchi
Original prediction
Neftchi
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 2 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.96 | 18.3% | 14.6% | -3.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.81 | 23.8% | 21.9% | -1.9 pts |
| Away | 1.56 | 58.0% | 63.5% | 5.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.56 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.6 pts
Projected Score
Kokand-1912 0–2 Neftchi
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Neftchi
Probability
63.5%
Model confidence
63.5%
Neftchi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Kokand-1912WLLLD
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
NeftchiLDWWW
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Kokand-1912Neftchi
31.9Attack75.4
56.5Defence72.5
33.3Form75.4
42.7Power72.7
0.51xG1.95