Kokand-1912vs
Mash'al
COMPLETEDUzbekistan · Super League · 10/9/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kokand-1912 · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Kokand-1912 1-0 Mash'al, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Kokand-1912 3-0 Mash'al
Original prediction
Kokand-1912
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 18:57 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.29 | 70.5% | 56.4% | -14.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.58 | 19.8% | 26.2% | 6.3 pts |
| Away | 9.44 | 9.6% | 17.4% | 7.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.29 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-14.1 pts
Projected Score
Kokand-1912 1–0 Mash'al
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Kokand-1912
Probability
56.4%
Model confidence
56.4%
Kokand-1912 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Kokand-1912LLLDD
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Mash'alLLLLL
GF 3 · GA 13 · avg 0.60/2.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Kokand-1912Mash'al
28.8Attack16.7
54.5Defence33.3
30.3Form6.1
40.6Power23.0
1.30xG0.59