GGOALVIO

Uzbekistan · Super League · 9/5/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Dinamo Samarqand · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (12%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Kokand-1912 1-1 Dinamo Samarqand

Original prediction

Dinamo Samarqand

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:19 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.6034.9%30.4%-4.5 pts
Draw2.9630.7%27.9%-2.8 pts
Away2.6434.4%41.6%7.3 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 1.96 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

7.3 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.0–112%
  3. 3.0–012%

Predicted outcome

Dinamo Samarqand

Probability

41.6%

Model confidence

41.6%

Dinamo Samarqand has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Kokand-1912DWWDL

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Dinamo SamarqandDWDLD

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Kokand-1912Dinamo Samarqand
29.8Attack50.9
54.4Defence47.4
33.3Form45.6
41.8Power50.6
0.98xG1.30
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