GGOALVIO

Uzbekistan · Pro League A · 3/19/2024, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Kokand-1912 are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (DL), averaging 0.50 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Buxoro are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 7 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Buxoro hold a 6.0-point power-rating edge (57.2 v 63.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.1% in the Pro League A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 23% BTTS chance and 13% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

48.1%

Model confidence

48.1%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Kokand-1912DL

GF 1 · GA 2 · avg 0.50/1.00

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
BuxoroDLLLL

GF 0 · GA 4 · avg 0.00/0.80

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
Kokand-1912Buxoro
35.7Attack47.6
75.0Defence78.6
54.8Form61.9
57.2Power63.2
0.58xG0.68
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