Kochi Unitedvs
Roasso Kumamoto
COMPLETEDJapan · J3 League · 8/30/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Roasso Kumamoto · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kochi United 0-2 Roasso Kumamoto
Original prediction
Roasso Kumamoto
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.44 | 37.1% | 33.6% | -3.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.09 | 29.4% | 28.5% | -0.9 pts |
| Away | 2.70 | 33.6% | 38.0% | 4.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.70 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Roasso Kumamoto
Probability
38.0%
Model confidence
38.0%
Roasso Kumamoto has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 10 · avg 0.40/2.00
GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00