Kochi Unitedvs
Parceiro Nagano
COMPLETEDJapan · J3 League · 10/10/2026, 5:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Parceiro Nagano · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-1 (13%), 1-1 (12%), 0-2 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kochi United 1-3 Parceiro Nagano
Original prediction
Parceiro Nagano
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 01:44 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.51 | 35.5% | 22.3% | -13.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.02 | 29.6% | 24.5% | -5.1 pts |
| Away | 2.56 | 34.9% | 53.3% | 18.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.56 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
18.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–113%
- 2.1–112%
- 3.0–212%
Predicted outcome
Parceiro Nagano
Probability
53.3%
Model confidence
53.3%
Parceiro Nagano has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 9 · avg 0.20/1.80
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20