Kochi Unitedvs
Osaka
COMPLETEDJapan · J3 League · 9/26/2026, 8:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Osaka · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (14%), 0-1 (12%), 1-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kochi United 0-4 Osaka
Original prediction
Osaka
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 20:44 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.96 | 30.3% | 24.1% | -6.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.07 | 29.2% | 26.4% | -2.7 pts |
| Away | 2.21 | 40.6% | 49.5% | 8.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.21 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–214%
- 2.0–112%
- 3.1–110%
Predicted outcome
Osaka
Probability
49.5%
Model confidence
49.5%
Osaka has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Kochi UnitedLDLLL
GF 1 · GA 7 · avg 0.20/1.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
OsakaWWDWD
GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Kochi UnitedOsaka
14.3Attack61.9
33.3Defence66.7
23.8Form61.9
26.5Power64.7
0.70xG2.13