Kocaelisporvs
Samsunspor
COMPLETEDTurkey · Süper Lig · 9/6/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kocaelispor · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kocaelispor 1-0 Samsunspor
Original prediction
Kocaelispor
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.37 | 39.6% | 42.3% | 2.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.10 | 30.4% | 27.8% | -2.6 pts |
| Away | 3.14 | 30.0% | 30.0% | 0.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.37 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Kocaelispor
Probability
42.3%
Model confidence
42.3%
Kocaelispor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80