Turkey · Türkiye Kupası · 10/27/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kocaelispor · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 11 October 2026 at 01:56 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: -| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.03 | 90.1% | 49.0% | -41.0 pts |
| Draw | 12.19 | 7.6% | 22.7% | 15.0 pts |
| Away | 40.88 | 2.3% | 28.3% | 26.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 - · Draw - · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Kocaelispor
Probability
49.0%
Model confidence
49.0%
Kocaelispor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
KocaelisporWLLWL
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Mazıdağı FosfatsporDWDWW
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
KocaelisporMazıdağı Fosfatspor
50.0Attack33.3
50.0Defence100.0
50.0Form100.0
50.0Power80.3
1.53xG1.60