GGOALVIO

Turkey · 1. Lig · 8/12/2023, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kocaelispor · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Kocaelispor are 3W-0D-1L in their last 4 (WLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.25 conceded, while Manisa F.K. are 0W-1D-0L in their last 1 (D), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 5 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Manisa F.K. hold a 26.3-point power-rating edge (54.1 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.4% in the 1. Lig, while Kocaelispor holds the strongest overall chance at 34% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Kocaelispor

Probability

34.4%

Model confidence

34.4%

Kocaelispor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

KocaelisporWLWW

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.25

BTTS 2/4O2.5 2/4
Manisa F.K.D

GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/2.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1
KocaelisporManisa F.K.
46.7Attack66.7
59.0Defence66.7
52.4Form100.0
54.1Power80.3
1.26xG1.20
View match centre →