Kocaelisporvs
Göztepe
COMPLETEDTurkey · Süper Lig · 10/18/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kocaelispor · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kocaelispor 1-2 Göztepe
Original prediction
Kocaelispor
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 18 September 2026 at 00:29 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.85 | 32.8% | 46.1% | 13.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.27 | 28.5% | 24.6% | -3.9 pts |
| Away | 2.42 | 38.6% | 29.3% | -9.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Kocaelispor
Probability
46.1%
Model confidence
46.1%
Kocaelispor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 12 · GA 11 · avg 2.40/2.20