Kocaelisporvs
Gaziantep FK
COMPLETEDTurkey · Süper Lig · 9/19/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kocaelispor · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 1-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kocaelispor 2-0 Gaziantep FK
Original prediction
Kocaelispor
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.36 | 39.4% | 38.1% | -1.4 pts |
| Draw | 2.99 | 31.2% | 29.7% | -1.5 pts |
| Away | 3.17 | 29.4% | 32.2% | 2.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.36 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.1–012%
Predicted outcome
Kocaelispor
Probability
38.1%
Model confidence
38.1%
Kocaelispor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00