Knokkevs
Spouwen-Mopertingen
COMPLETEDBelgium · First Amateur Division · 9/20/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Knokke · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Knokke 3-2 Spouwen-Mopertingen
Original prediction
Knokke
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.79 | 49.9% | 42.1% | -7.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.63 | 24.7% | 25.8% | 1.1 pts |
| Away | 3.52 | 25.4% | 32.1% | 6.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.79 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Knokke
Probability
42.1%
Model confidence
42.1%
Knokke has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20