Knokkevs
Oud-Heverlee Leuven II
COMPLETEDBelgium · First Amateur Division · 10/4/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Knokke · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (8%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Knokke 3-2 Oud-Heverlee Leuven II
Original prediction
Knokke
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.00 | 45.5% | 38.8% | -6.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.89 | 23.4% | 25.3% | 1.9 pts |
| Away | 2.93 | 31.1% | 35.9% | 4.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Knokke
Probability
38.8%
Model confidence
38.8%
Knokke has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20
GF 13 · GA 10 · avg 2.60/2.00