Kluczevia Stargardvs
Luzino
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 2 · 10/17/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Luzino · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kluczevia Stargard 3-2 Luzino
Original prediction
Luzino
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 8 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.09 | 29.2% | 33.6% | 4.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.70 | 24.4% | 25.6% | 1.2 pts |
| Away | 1.95 | 46.4% | 40.8% | -5.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Luzino
Probability
40.8%
Model confidence
40.8%
Luzino has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 14 · GA 5 · avg 2.80/1.00