Kluczevia Stargardvs
Flota Świnoujście
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 2 · 10/24/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Flota Świnoujście · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kluczevia Stargard 2-2 Flota Świnoujście
Original prediction
Flota Świnoujście
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 10 October 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.48 | 61.1% | 37.4% | -23.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.24 | 21.3% | 24.2% | 2.9 pts |
| Away | 5.12 | 17.6% | 38.4% | 20.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.24 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
20.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Flota Świnoujście
Probability
38.4%
Model confidence
38.4%
Flota Świnoujście has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 0 · GA 12 · avg 0.00/2.40