Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Saturday, 18 July 2026Last updated 10:02
Kluczbork

Kluczbork

Home
LW
13
Full time
Warta Sieradz

Warta Sieradz

Away
W
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Kluczbork39%
Draw35%
Warta Sieradz26%
Most likely exact score2-1
Win probability
Kluczbork
39%
Draw
35%
Warta Sieradz
26%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Kluczbork
73
Warta Sieradz
73
Defence
Kluczbork
46
Warta Sieradz
66
Momentum
Kluczbork
50
Warta Sieradz
100
Danger (xG)
Kluczbork
1.80
Warta Sieradz
1.80
Both teams to score
Yes

The model projects 2.12 xG for Kluczbork and 1.52 xG for Warta Sieradz — strong and strong attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 1-1 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. Even with Warta Sieradz holding the stronger xG profile, the opposition's strong attacking output is sufficient to keep BTTS in play.The attack-versus-defence matchup supports both teams scoring. Kluczbork's Attack Score (73) exceeds Warta Sieradz's Defensive Stability (66), and Warta Sieradz's attack (73) similarly tests Kluczbork's defence (46). Neither backline is dominant enough to prevent the other side from scoring.

Over 2.5 goals
Yes

The model projects a combined xG of 3.64 — high attacking volume. A combined xG below 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is unlikely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture falls below that threshold.The projected 1-1 scoreline stays under the 2.5-goal mark. The probability grid is dominated by scorelines of two goals or fewer, with the over 2.5 market requiring a result that sits outside the model's most likely outcomes.

xG for (Kluczbork)
1.80
avg per match
xG for (Warta Sieradz)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Kluczbork)
1.35
avg per match
xG against (Warta Sieradz)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
KluczborkKluczbork
LW
Warta SieradzWarta Sieradz
WDD

Probability breakdown

39% confidence
Kluczbork39%
Draw35%
Warta Sieradz26%

Kluczbork leads with 39% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Kluczbork Backed to Win — Model Projects 2-1

Kluczbork host Warta Sieradz in Friendlies Clubs. Kluczbork have recorded WLWWLW in recent matches while Warta Sieradz arrive with a run of WWLWWW. These sides have met 1 times recently, averaging 4.0 goals per game.

Why GoalVio backs this

The xG model projects 2.12 for Kluczbork and 1.52 for Warta Sieradz. The gap of 0.60 is not large enough to decisively separate the sides — neither team is creating chances at a level that justifies a clear winner projection.

Biggest risk: null have won 4 of their last 10 matches — a run of form the model acknowledges but cannot fully override. If null carry that momentum into this fixture and score first, the upset probability rises significantly above what the headline verdict suggests.

Risk factors

  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.
  • The Poisson model works on averages — individual moments of quality can decide matches that data suggests should be close.

Recent form

Kluczbork

Kluczbork

L
@ Górnik Polkowice
17 May 2026
13
W
vs Goczałkowice Zdrój
13 May 2026
30
Warta Sieradz

Warta Sieradz

W
vs Polonia Środa
15 Jul 2026
21
D
@ Wikielec
17 May 2026
11
D
vs Wisła Płock II
13 May 2026
11

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Kluczbork vs Warta Sieradz?

GoalVio's model predicts Kluczbork to win with 39% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Kluczbork vs Warta Sieradz?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Kluczbork vs Warta Sieradz?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Kluczbork vs Warta Sieradz?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more