Kluczborkvs
Stal Brzeg
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 3 · 8/28/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Stal Brzeg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kluczbork 1-0 Stal Brzeg
Original prediction
Stal Brzeg
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:51 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.03 | 44.4% | 30.0% | -14.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.51 | 25.7% | 24.6% | -1.0 pts |
| Away | 3.01 | 29.9% | 45.3% | 15.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
15.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–29%
Predicted outcome
Stal Brzeg
Probability
45.3%
Model confidence
45.3%
Stal Brzeg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20