Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Turku PS · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Klubi-04 are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 3.20 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Turku PS are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 3.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Turku PS hold an 18.3-point power-rating edge (38.0 v 56.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.1% in the Ykkösliiga, while Turku PS holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Turku PS
Probability
47.1%
Model confidence
47.1%
Turku PS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 16 · GA 12 · avg 3.20/2.40
GF 19 · GA 7 · avg 3.80/1.40