Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
21%
HighconfidenceKlubi-04 are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while MP are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and mP hold a 8.4-point power-rating edge (37.5 v 45.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely result in the Ykkösliiga, favouring a draw with 21.2% confidence, a 32% BTTS chance and 22% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
37.7%
Model confidence
21.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Klubi-04LLLWD
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
MPLWDLD
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Klubi-04MP
25.9Attack35.2
57.4Defence55.6
22.2Form38.9
37.5Power45.9
0.77xG0.85