Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Klubi-04 are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while MP are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and MP hold an 8.4-point power-rating edge (37.5 v 45.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 21.2% in the Ykkösliiga, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 22% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
37.7%
Model confidence
21.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00