Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lahti · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Klubi-04 are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Lahti are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Lahti hold a 30.6-point power-rating edge (38.0 v 68.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.6% in the Ykkösliiga, while Lahti holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lahti
Probability
60.6%
Model confidence
60.6%
Lahti has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 16 · GA 8 · avg 3.20/1.60
GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40