Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Klubi-04 · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (14%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Klubi-04 2-2 KäPa
Original prediction
Klubi-04
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.91 | 47.5% | 51.6% | 4.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.56 | 25.4% | 25.2% | -0.2 pts |
| Away | 3.33 | 27.1% | 23.1% | -4.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.56 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–014%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Klubi-04
Probability
51.6%
Model confidence
51.6%
Klubi-04 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Klubi-04WWDLL
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
KäPaDLLLL
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Klubi-04KäPa
39.7Attack33.3
54.0Defence44.4
30.2Form27.0
42.6Power37.7
1.45xG0.84