Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Klubi-04 are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while KäPa are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLDDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 38.0 against 38.4. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.5% in the Ykkösliiga, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
39.5%
Model confidence
39.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80