Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Klubi-04 · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (15%), 1-0 (14%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Klubi-04 2-1 JäPS
Original prediction
Klubi-04
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 15:38 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.60 | 56.4% | 44.8% | -11.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.05 | 22.3% | 27.8% | 5.5 pts |
| Away | 4.22 | 21.4% | 27.5% | 6.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.60 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–015%
- 3.1–014%
Predicted outcome
Klubi-04
Probability
44.8%
Model confidence
44.8%
Klubi-04 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Klubi-04LLDWW
GF 13 · GA 12 · avg 2.60/2.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
JäPSWLWDL
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Klubi-04JäPS
38.9Attack30.6
50.0Defence52.8
27.8Form48.6
40.5Power46.0
1.16xG0.87