Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Klubi-04 are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded, while JäPS are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDLWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and JäPS hold an 8.8-point power-rating edge (38.0 v 46.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.4% in the Ykkösliiga, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 20% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
43.4%
Model confidence
43.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20