Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Klubi-04 are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while JäPS are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 3.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and JäPS hold an 8.8-point power-rating edge (38.0 v 46.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.4% in the Ykkösliiga, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 20% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
43.4%
Model confidence
43.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 7 · avg 2.80/1.40
GF 19 · GA 3 · avg 3.80/0.60