Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kloetinge · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 1-1 (8%), 2-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kloetinge 1-3 Katwijk
Original prediction
Kloetinge
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 18:35 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.72 | 33.4% | 38.1% | 4.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.87 | 23.5% | 25.4% | 1.9 pts |
| Away | 2.11 | 43.0% | 36.5% | -6.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–18%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.2–28%
Predicted outcome
Kloetinge
Probability
38.1%
Model confidence
38.1%
Kloetinge has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
KloetingeLDLDW
GF 16 · GA 12 · avg 3.20/2.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
KatwijkLLLWL
GF 4 · GA 15 · avg 0.80/3.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
KloetingeKatwijk
50.0Attack40.0
13.3Defence30.0
23.3Form36.7
31.7Power37.6
2.24xG1.94