Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
HHC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (9%), 1-3 (8%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kloetinge 3-3 HHC
Original prediction
HHC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 06:32 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.32 | 27.5% | 21.3% | -6.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.86 | 23.6% | 19.1% | -4.5 pts |
| Away | 1.87 | 48.9% | 59.6% | 10.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.86 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–29%
- 2.1–38%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
HHC
Probability
59.6%
Model confidence
59.6%
HHC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
KloetingeLDWLD
GF 13 · GA 11 · avg 2.60/2.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
HHCWLLLD
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
KloetingeHHC
45.8Attack62.5
12.5Defence50.0
25.0Form58.3
30.7Power58.8
1.42xG2.86