Köln U19vs
Mainz 05 U19
COMPLETEDGermany · U19 Bundesliga · 10/18/2026, 9:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Köln U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (7%), 3-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Köln U19 3-1 Mainz 05 U19
Original prediction
Köln U19
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 08:51 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.64 | 54.7% | 53.3% | -1.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.50 | 19.9% | 20.5% | 0.6 pts |
| Away | 3.54 | 25.4% | 26.2% | 0.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.64 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.1–17%
- 3.3–17%
Predicted outcome
Köln U19
Probability
53.3%
Model confidence
53.3%
Köln U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80
GF 17 · GA 7 · avg 3.40/1.40