Köln U19vs
Kaiserslautern U19
COMPLETEDGermany · U19 Bundesliga · 10/10/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Köln U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 3-1 (8%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Köln U19 1-0 Kaiserslautern U19
Original prediction
Köln U19
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 06:29 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.57 | 57.5% | 57.3% | -0.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.56 | 19.8% | 20.8% | 1.0 pts |
| Away | 3.96 | 22.8% | 21.9% | -0.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.57 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.3–18%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
Köln U19
Probability
57.3%
Model confidence
57.3%
Köln U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 5 · avg 3.00/1.00
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60