Köln IIvs
Paderborn II
COMPLETEDGermany · Regionalliga - West · 10/24/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Köln II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (7%), 2-2 (7%), 3-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Köln II 2-2 Paderborn II
Original prediction
Köln II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 10 October 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.71 | 52.7% | 55.7% | 3.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.87 | 23.3% | 18.5% | -4.8 pts |
| Away | 3.75 | 24.0% | 25.8% | 1.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.87 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–17%
- 2.2–27%
- 3.3–17%
Predicted outcome
Köln II
Probability
55.7%
Model confidence
55.7%
Köln II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 11 · avg 2.60/2.20
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60