Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Åsane W · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-3 (15%), 0-2 (14%), 0-4 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Klepp W 1-5 Åsane W
Original prediction
Åsane W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 18 September 2026 at 16:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 39.00 | 2.4% | 16.6% | 14.2 pts |
| Draw | 16.17 | 5.7% | 19.1% | 13.4 pts |
| Away | 1.01 | 91.9% | 64.3% | -27.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.01 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-27.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–315%
- 2.0–214%
- 3.0–412%
Predicted outcome
Åsane W
Probability
64.3%
Model confidence
64.3%
Åsane W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Klepp WLLLLL
GF 2 · GA 19 · avg 0.40/3.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Åsane WWDDWD
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Klepp WÅsane W
33.3Attack59.6
0.0Defence77.2
15.0Form73.7
19.2Power70.1
0.53xG3.18