Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bryne W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Klepp W 2-6 Bryne W
Original prediction
Bryne W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 17:37 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.71 | 24.1% | 29.7% | 5.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.12 | 21.7% | 27.3% | 5.6 pts |
| Away | 1.65 | 54.2% | 42.9% | -11.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.65 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–18%
Predicted outcome
Bryne W
Probability
42.9%
Model confidence
42.9%
Bryne W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Klepp WLLLLL
GF 1 · GA 17 · avg 0.20/3.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
Bryne WLWLLL
GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Klepp WBryne W
33.3Attack33.3
0.0Defence41.2
16.7Form33.3
19.6Power37.1
1.22xG1.62