GGOALVIO

Turkey · 3. Lig - Group 1 · 9/26/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Küçükçekmece Sinopspor · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 2-0 (12%), 1-0 (12%), 1-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Küçükçekmece Sinopspor 1-1 Zonguldak Kömürspor

Original prediction

Küçükçekmece Sinopspor

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.7551.3%52.7%1.3 pts
Draw3.3227.1%25.6%-1.4 pts
Away4.1521.6%21.7%0.1 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.32 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

1.3 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.2–012%
  2. 2.1–012%
  3. 3.1–112%

Predicted outcome

Küçükçekmece Sinopspor

Probability

52.7%

Model confidence

52.7%

Küçükçekmece Sinopspor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Küçükçekmece SinopsporWDWLW

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Zonguldak KömürsporLLLWD

GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Küçükçekmece SinopsporZonguldak Kömürspor
44.4Attack33.3
88.9Defence22.2
77.8Form0.0
72.8Power22.9
1.86xG0.81
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