GGOALVIO

Turkey · 3. Lig - Group 1 · 10/11/2026, 12:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Küçükçekmece Sinopspor · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-0 (14%), 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Küçükçekmece Sinopspor 0-4 Karabük İdman Yurdu

Original prediction

Küçükçekmece Sinopspor

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 27 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.8149.8%43.0%-6.9 pts
Draw3.4726.0%29.3%3.3 pts
Away3.7324.2%27.8%3.6 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-6.9 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–014%
  2. 2.1–114%
  3. 3.0–012%

Predicted outcome

Küçükçekmece Sinopspor

Probability

43.0%

Model confidence

43.0%

Küçükçekmece Sinopspor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Küçükçekmece SinopsporWLDWD

GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Karabük İdman YurduWLWDW

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Küçükçekmece SinopsporKarabük İdman Yurdu
40.0Attack33.3
66.7Defence46.7
53.3Form46.7
55.3Power45.0
1.38xG0.82
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