Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kjelsås · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Kjelsås are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Ullern are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Kjelsås hold a 20.5-point power-rating edge (62.9 v 42.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.8% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Kjelsås holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Kjelsås
Probability
48.8%
Model confidence
48.8%
Kjelsås has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 9 · avg 3.00/1.80
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40