GGOALVIO

Norway · 2. Division - Group 1 · 4/22/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Kjelsås are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Ørn Horten are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Kjelsås hold a 2.3-point power-rating edge (49.3 v 47.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.4% in the 2. Division - Group 1, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

36.4%

Model confidence

36.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

KjelsåsLWWWW

GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Ørn HortenWLLLD

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
KjelsåsØrn Horten
32.1Attack52.6
64.1Defence48.7
44.9Form42.3
49.3Power47.0
1.08xG1.04
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